2024 Presidential Race Update

Current Poll Averages

An ongoing average of polls for the 2024 presidential election shows the Republican and Democratic nomination races neck-and-neck. The Republican race is a crowded field, with several candidates vying for the nomination. The Democratic race is more settled, with the incumbent president facing a challenge from a progressive upstart.

Methodology

The poll average is calculated using a weighted average of polls, with the weights determined by the poll's recency, sample size, and methodology. The average is updated three times daily to reflect the latest polling data.

2024 Election Forecast

Based on the current poll averages, the 2024 election is too close to call. The Republican race is a toss-up, and the Democratic race is likely to be decided by a small margin.

The map below shows the current forecast for the 2024 election. The map will be updated three times daily as new polling data becomes available.

2024 Presidential Election Forecast